Economics1

MULTI-STAGE SUPPLY NETWORK WITH CONSIDERATION OF CROSS-BORDER
IMPACTS - DELAY TIME AT CROSS BORDER
Name
Course
Date
1
Abstract
Since the formulation of NAFTA agreement trade has been blooming between Canada
and the United States, however, there is still a gap that requires fulfillment. The gap is because of
the buffer time at the cross-border between the two countries, which has resulted in high costs
incurred by all the stakeholders involved in the supply chain network. In this research, an integer
linear programming mathematical model is designed with the aim of bringing the gap and come
up with the suitable solutions. The model seeks to determine whether construction of new
facilities or dismantling of some will optimize the supply chain costs extensively. The outcomes
of the research with the incorporation of multiple parameters recommended that dismantling of
the facilities would be the possible solution in optimizing the costs. The report will go into
details on how each parameter was calculated, the findings and all the recommendations drawn
from the results.
2
Background Brief
Ever since the passage of the CUSFTA (Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement) as well as
NAFTA (North American Free Trade Agreement), trade has experienced explosive growth. So
far, the many objectives of both agreements have been met especially when it comes to
eliminating the barriers to trade before the two agreements. The latter was the main hindrance to
trade between the two countries. Some of the benefits of the agreement according to NAFTA is
that it has helped accelerated growth regarding the economy as well as enhancing the purchasing
powers of different suppliers as well as purchasers of the goods and services. The other objective
is that it has created a more comprehensive market competition while at the same time bringing
forth diversification of products and services.
According to the gap illustrated in the abstract or in other words the cross-border buffer
time problem, it is important to note that trucks are the primary mode of transportation for the
NAFTA goods. It accounts for about 60 percent of the shipment, which makes them a vital part
of the entire supply chain system. The buffer time at the borders, however, has been increasing
day after day due to various factors one of them being the events of September 11, 2001. This led
to more scrutiny at the borders increasing the buffer time. The delays have therefore held cost
for both suppliers and the manufacturers affecting their operation. It is estimated that the costs
related to both postponements as well as uncertainty at the cross-border clearance are $4.02
billion.
1
It is important to note that the effects are experienced by the truckers too who incur
1
Taylor, John C., Douglas R. Robideaux, and George C. Jackson. "US-Canada transportation
and logistics: border impacts and costs, causes, and possible solutions." Transportation
Journal (2004): 5-21.
3
costs amounting to almost $ 290 million per year, this is because the delays incur them nearly 33
minutes per each shipment job they take. The losses incurred during the cross-border
transportation is high, and therefore the mathematical model developed for this problem will
seek to find out the demand of goods to be supplied to come up with the best supply management
design regarding facility setup or closing of some.
Research Objective and Mathematical Model Formulation
The buffer time at the cross-border between Canada and the United States has accelerated
the number of losses that the manufacturers, suppliers, as well as truckers, incur. For this
reasons, the primary objective of this study is to optimize the total cost incurred by the supply
chain network that exists at the cross-border. The approach that will be effective in tackling the
objective is the Integer Linear Programming mathematical model.
2
The approach is significant
and will be used since it will help in deciding the optimal quantities of goods that should be
produced by each facility as well as shipped by them. The approach is also essential in
determining the production capacity to be installed at each service at a particular period; this is
because the model is capacitated dynamic facility location allocation.
In any multi-period problem, it is important to note that the demand of any customer is
dynamic and as a result may change with time. For this reason, the mathematical model
2
Manzini, Riccardo, and Elisa Gebennini. "Optimization models for the dynamic facility
location and allocation problem." International Journal of Production Research 46, no. 8 (2008):
2061-2086.
4
illustrates above can develop as well as dismantle any installed production capacity with the goal
of optimizing the production capacity from any given facility. The model is also relevant since it
affects the cost components of the entire supply chain network. These costs components include
cross-border as well as domestic transportation costs and costs associated with the dismantling as
well as the construction of the capacities. The excel solver considers the supply chain cost
parameters that are essential in determining the optimized quantities of production. The model
will operate within the permissible international values and limit the output of carbon IV oxide.
The above costs, as well as constraints, are the most vital portions that must be considered to
have a final report.
Parameters
The problem under study requires two main stages, which include identifying the various
relevant parameters, setting up of decision variables and developing an objective function, which
will optimize the cross-border supply chain network.
3
The second stage, on the other hand, will
include the development of the mathematical model that will help in the acquisition of the
quantity of goods that require transportation between the facilities and the customers. The same
will cover the corresponding costs associated with both. The model as already mentioned earlier
will help in the calculation of the total expenses related to the construction as well as the
dismantling of the facilities for an optimized solution. The model develops; therefore, consist of
3
Anderson, Bill. "The border and the Ontario economy." Cross-Border Transportation Centre,
University of Windsor, Windsor, ON (Accessed online 23-12-2017 at: www. uvvindsor.
ca/crossborder/system/...[I'he_Border_Reprot2012. pdf)(2012).
5
different locations denoted by V and consumers of the products indicated by U. The two are
presumed to spread throughout Canada and U.S.
The locations mentioned are believed to have a default production capacity indicated by
H
K
. It is of importance to note that the capacity specified can be constructed or dismantled
depending on the predefined capacities, which are based on the ever-changing demands of the
customers. However, during the construction and dismantling of any capacity costs are incurred.
The demand parameters under the model are believed to be deterministic and have the capability
of changing from time to time (Note than only demand and not supply is deterministic and that
having the capability to change does not mean it changes; it only means that it is flexible if need
be). During this times demand is fixed and therefore the supply must always be equal or higher
than demand itself. The parameter does not only incorporate the above parameters but also take
into considerations the scenario parameter, for example, should an orange alert exist in
Ambassador Bridge. Ps. therefore denotes the probability of this scenario to occur. The model is
thus developed in a manner that any given buffer time contains several scenarios (S). Buffer time
can be a single day or even a year depending on the period under study, however, for our model,
the buffer time is not fixed and therefore the users many include whichever periods seem fit for
them. Hence the following parameters are used to denote the bufffer time for customer demand,
h
i, t.
The goal of the thesis is to optimize the quantity of goods to be produced as well as
shipped. At the same time, it seeks to minimize the entire cost of the supply chain network and
find solutions whether a capacity requires construction or dismantling. The parameter used for
shipping and which are necessary for Z
j, I, s, t.
6
Other parameters that are useful in the developed model are d
j, I, t.
That represents the
transportation cost and production value of a single unit in a year from location j to a customer I
for a buffer time t. E1 which is a set of all domestic routes is represented by the following
parameter {(j, i): j 1 V, i 𝑈1 𝑜𝑟 j 2 V, I U2} while that of cross border routes is E2 =
{(j, i): j 1 V, i U2 𝑜𝑟 j 2 V, i U1}. E
S
on the other hand is the parameter for increase in
terms of cost when crossing border at s scenario. Fixed cost required for setting up a facility at a
given location is a
j, k, t,
and that of dismantling is
j, k, t.
Decision Variables
Binary variables are defined as follows:
a) Z
j, I, s, t.
= this is the quantity of customer (j) demand transported from the plant in S
scenario, taking into consideration buffer time t. 𝑖 ∈𝑈, 𝑗 𝑉, s 𝑆, t 𝑇
b)Y
j, k, t
= (1: set up of plant k, at location j, taking in consideration buffer time at the cross
border t, t, j V, k K, t 𝑇, 0: otherwise)
c)𝑦 ̂𝑗,𝑘,𝑡= (1: Dismantling a plant at location j taking into consideration the buffer time at the
cross border t, t, j V, k K, t 𝑇, 0: otherwise)
Indices
i: Customers, i U
j: Locations , j V
s: Scenarios, s S
k: Capacities, k K
7
t: Buffer time at cross-border, t T
Constraints
j
V
𝑍
j, s,t
i,t
× 𝑝
s
𝑖 𝑈,𝑡 ϵ 𝑇 ,𝑠 ϵ 𝑆
j
V
s
S
Z
j,I,s,t
𝐻 ̂
j
+
t ′ ≤ t
k ϵ K
𝑦
𝑗
,
𝑘
,
𝑡
𝐻
𝑘
-
t ′ ≤ t
k ϵ K
𝑦 ̂
𝑗
,
𝑘
,
𝑡
k
𝐻
𝑘
∀𝑗 𝜖 𝑉,t 𝜖 𝑇
i ϵ
𝑈
s ϵ S
𝑍
𝑗
,
𝑖
,
𝑠
,
𝑡
× 𝑒
𝑗
,
𝑖
≤ Ω 𝑗 𝜖 𝑉, 𝑡 𝜖 𝑇
𝑘
∈𝐾
𝑦 ̂
𝑗
,,
𝑡
≤ 1 𝑗 𝜖 𝑉, 𝑡 𝜖 𝑇
𝑘∈𝐾
𝑦
𝑗
,,
𝑡
≤ 1 𝑗 𝜖 𝑉, 𝑡 𝜖 𝑇
𝑍
𝑗
,,
𝑠
,
𝑡
≥ 0 𝑖 𝜖 𝑈, 𝑗 𝜖 𝑉, s 𝜖 𝑆 , 𝑡 𝜖 𝑇
𝑦
𝑗
,,
𝑡
{0,1} 𝑗 𝜖 𝑉, 𝑡 𝜖 𝑇,𝑘 𝜖 𝐾
𝑦 ̂
𝑗
,,
𝑡
{0,1} 𝑗 𝜖 𝑉, 𝑡 𝜖 𝑇,𝑘 𝜖 𝐾
𝑘
∈𝐾
𝑦 ̂
𝑗
,,
𝑡
=1
×𝐻
𝑘
𝐻 ̂
𝑗
𝑗 𝑉
Objective Mathematical Function
Construction or Dismantling of Facilities
𝑡
𝜖
𝑇
{ ∑
𝑗
𝜖
𝑉
𝑘
𝜖
𝐾
𝑎
𝑗
,
𝑘
,
𝑡
𝑦
𝑗
,
𝑘
,
𝑡
+ ∑
𝑘
𝜖
𝐾
𝑗
𝜖
𝑉
ǡ
𝑗
,
𝑘
,
𝑡
𝑦 ̂
𝑗
,
𝑘
,
𝑡
+ ∑
(
𝑗
,
𝑖
)ϵ
𝐸
1
s ϵ S
𝑑
𝑗
,
𝑖
,
𝑡
𝑍
j,i, s,t
+
(
𝑗
,
𝑖
)ϵ
𝐸
2
s ϵS
𝑑
𝑗
,
𝑖
,
𝑡
𝑍
𝑗
,
𝑖
,
𝑠
,
𝑡
,(
1+𝑒
s
)}+
i ϵ
𝑈
s ϵ S
𝑗
ϵ V
𝑡
ϵ T
𝑍
𝑗
,
𝑖
,
𝑠
,
𝑡
× 𝑒
𝑗
,
𝑖
×𝛼 - 𝐸 ×𝛼
Solution Procedures
The procedures indicated here have one primary objective, and that is to explain the
application of the model in real life and how it helps the supply chain managers. The first
solution with gives a brief solution on how to meet the demand for any given scenario at the
8
cross-border. Some of the assumptions made include the duration of each scenario and the period
under study. These are one day and one year respectively. The total number of scenarios is,
therefore, s1 + s2 = S which is equivalent to the number of days N.
The expected number of days in a year for a probable scenario =. N*Ps
Daily Supply = ∑ 𝑍𝑗, 𝑖, 𝑠, 𝑡 𝑗∈𝑉/ N P𝑠
Daily Demand =
i,
t / 𝑁
Since supply is equal or greater than demand, the following statement is correct:
𝑍𝑗, 𝑖, 𝑠, 𝑡 𝑗∈𝑉/ N P𝑠
i,
t / 𝑁
At any given scenario, it is important to note that scenario demand constraint in added, and this
results in the equation below
∑ Z
𝑗
,,
𝑠
,
𝑡
j
ϵ V
i,
t × Ps
In conclusion to the above brief solution, it is therefore of importance that each scenario
attracts different costs when crossing the border regarding buffer time. The equation, therefore,
includes the parameter e
s
which is the additional costs. The model develops comes up with a
solution on the number of goods that should be produced and shipped for each probable scenario.
9
Bibliography
Anderson, Bill. "The border and the Ontario economy." Cross-Border Transportation
Centre, University of Windsor, Windsor, ON (Accessed online 23-12-2017 at:
www. uvvindsor. ca/crossborder/system/...[I'he_Border_Reprot2012.
pdf)(2012).
Manzini, Riccardo, and Elisa Gebennini. "Optimization models for the dynamic facility
location and allocation problem." International Journal of Production
Research 46, no. 8 (2008): 2061-2086.
Taylor, John C., Douglas R. Robideaux, and George C. Jackson. "US-Canada
transportation and logistics: border impacts and costs, causes, and possible
solutions." Transportation Journal (2004): 5-21.
10

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