Effects of Brexit on the UK Economy

Running head: EFFECTS OF BREXIT ON THE U.K ECONOMY 1
Effects of Brexit on the U.K Economy
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EFFECTS OF BREXIT ON THE U.K ECONOMY 2
Effects of Brexit on the U.K Economy
Introduction
Brexit is a move which officially the UK out from the European Union. Before the June
2016 referendum, many economists gave both promising and gloomy predictions of which some
have happened whereas, others haven’t. This paper seeks to present the effects that Brexit has
had on the Britain economy so far.
Negative effects
In November 2017, the Bank of England increased the interest rates for the very first time
since Gordon Brown-Administration. In fact, according to the Bank’s Governor Mark Carney,
the interest may increase even further by 2020. Additionally, Carney warned that Brexit vote had
put Britain among the worst performing G7 members (Welfens, 2017). In November 2017, the
Autumn Budget indicated that the UK needed £25 billion extra to restore its economy. The
Budget also showed that Britons were facing the biggest financial problems since the 1950s.
Furthermore, the 2017 economic growth rate was 1.5% down from 2% target.
The Bank of England also predicted a fall in the level of business investment to approximately
25% by 2019, thus damaging its future productivity growth. Moreover, statistics indicate that
Britain has lost more than 10500 financial jobs since Brexit. The situation may worsen,
considering that the UK’s big financial firms like Citigroup and Morgan Stanley have already
declared their intentions to vacate Britain.
Technological-wise, Brexit has jeopardized London’s status as the European tech capital since
many tech companies have vowed to exit London. Possibly, the UK-based companies won’t be
EFFECTS OF BREXIT ON THE U.K ECONOMY 3
able to service the European customers after March 2019. As for the car industry, the Society of
Motor Manufacturers and Traders warned in November 2017 that they would incur an extra
£4.5bn in tariffs, which could ruin the country’s motor industry “beyond repair.” Other sectors
that echoed this statement include the food and drinks, the construction, the pharmaceuticals and
the Architecture and design.
Positive
Contrary to the predictions, the UK economy expanded by 0.4%, according to 2017 last
quarter budget. Technological-wise, Facebook opened its offices in London in December 2017,
employing more than 800 Britons. Additionally, August 2017 statistics indicated that the Britain
pound had gained its value against U.S dollar by 5.3%.
Conclusion
While Brexit has brought some positive effects to Britain as it was hoped, the negative
outcomes have outdone the positive ones. Many firms are now planning to exit London, a move
which will reduce the employment opportunities in the U.K, as well as, cut its GDP.
EFFECTS OF BREXIT ON THE U.K ECONOMY 4
References
Belke, A., Dubova, I., & Osowski, T. (2018). Policy uncertainty and international
financial markets: The case of Brexit. Applied Economics, 1-19.
Belke, A., Dubova, I., & Osowski, T. (2018). Policy uncertainty and international
financial markets: The case of Brexit. Applied Economics, 1-19.
Clarke, H. D., Goodwin, M., & Whiteley, P. (2017). Brexit. Cambridge University Press.
Welfens, P. J. (2017). An Accidental Brexit: New EU and Transatlantic Economic
Perspectives. Springer.

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