Math 1101 Semester Project

Math 1101 Semester Project
Due: Monday March 25th
On iCollege Drop box
Instructor: Dr. M. Alexander
Student Name: _____________________
Student Panther ID: (last 4 digits) _________________
Semester Project
Part one (regression line or best-fit linear function)
The following table shows (for the years 1965 to 2000 and for people 18 and over) the total
percentage of cigarette smokers, the percentage of males who are smokers, and the percentage of
females who are smokers.
Percentage of Smokers
Year Total Population All Males All Females
1965 42.4 51.9 33.9
1974 37.1 43.1 32.1
1979 33.5 37.5 29.9
1983 32.1 35.1 29.5
1985 30.1 32.6 27.9
1987 28.8 31.2 26.5
1990 25.5 28.4 22.8
1992 26.5 28.6 24.6
1993 25.0 27.7 22.5
1995 24.7 27.0 22.6
2000 23.3 25.7 21.0
1)Using Excel, draw a Scatter Plot and generate a regression line for the percentages of total
population who are smokers versus time.
2) The Regression Line for the Percentage of total population who are smokers is (just copy the
equation from your Excel spreadsheet, and attach an excel print out):
y = -0.5806x + 1182.8
3) According to the model, the percentage of total population who are smokers in the year 2002
is:
20.4
Part two (quadratic function passing three points)
Use excel to find the quadratic function whose graph is a parabola containing the points (-
2,1137), (2,1017), (3,1062).
The quadratic function is (attach an excel print out):
y = 15x
2
- 30x + 1017
y = -0.5806x + 1182.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
TOTAL POPULATION
YEAR
SCATTER PLOT
Part three (best-fit quadratic function)
The table below gives the US population, in millions, for selected years.
Year
US Population (in millions)
1960
180.671
1965
194.303
1970
205.052
1975
215.973
1980
227.726
1985
238.466
1990
249.948
1995
263.044
1998
270.561
2000
281.422
2003
294.043
1) Create a scatter plot of the data points, with x equal to the number of years after 1960.
2) Create a best-fit quadratic function that models the data, using the number of years after 1960
as the input x.
y = 15x
2
- 30x + 1017
980
1000
1020
1040
1060
1080
1100
1120
1140
1160
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Chart Title
The best-fit quadratic function is (attach an excel print out):
y = 0.0146x
2
+ 1.8413x + 183.46
3) Use the model to estimate the population of US in 2000. Is the estimate close to the actual
population?
Yes, the estimate is very close to the actual population
According to the model, the estimate of US population in 2000 is:
= (0.0146 × 40
2)
+ (1.8413 × 40) + 183.46
= 280.472 million
4) Use the model to predict the US population in 2005.
According to the model, the US population in 2005 is:
= (0.0146 × 45
2)
+ (1.8413 × 45) + 183.46
= 295.8835 million
y = 0.0146x
2
+ 1.8413x + 183.46
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
0 10 20 30 40 50
US Population
Year
Scatter Plot

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