The Republic Primaries

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Institution
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The Republican Primaries 2016
The 2016 Republican presidential primaries have continued to attract a lot of attention.
The current situation was expected considering that incumbent president Barrack Obama will not
be vying in the forthcoming presidential elections giving Republicans a better chance of
capturing White House. As candidates continue to fight for the magical 1237 delegates required
for party nomination, the unfolding events in the race have shaped it as one of the most
memorable races since the Reagan v. Ford contested convention of 1976 (Lewis).
The frontrunners, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are considered anti-establishment
candidates by the party. When the first caucus was held in Iowa, party leaders were optimistic
that Donald Trump’s lead in the polls would not be turned to votes (Bolton). While Donald
Trump managed a close second after Ted Cruz in the first caucus, he has shown steady progress
winning majority of the votes cast so far. At the close of the Mississippi primaries on 8
th
March,
businessman Donald Trump was leading by 458 delegates (Gabriel). His closest rival Ted Cruz
closed the day with 359 delegates (Gabriel). Others in the race are Marco Rubio and John Kasich
with 151 and 54 delegates respectively (Gabriel).
The 2016 cycle of primaries differs from past primaries in several ways. First of all, the
Republicans are experiencing the highest turnout in primaries since 1972 (Gray and Spangler).
Analysts have tied this to the heated competition among the four candidates. Donald Trump has
also been praised for his ability to expand the Republican base of voters and catalyzing the high
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turnout (Gray and Spangler). Secondly, while other primaries had clear front runners with
chances of winning over half the delegates to become the party’s nominees, the 2016 primaries
are still considered less likely to produce an outright nominee. Instead, party officials have
pointed out that there is likely to be a contested convention in Cleveland where delegates are
allowed to change their votes in order to give one candidate the majority of votes (Lewis). The
last time the party held a contested convention was in the 1976 race between Ronald Regan and
incumbent president Gerald Ford (Lewis). Further, Republicans are facing a populist revolt
against the party’s establishment. Senator Ted Cruz has been defined as a radical politician who
rarely votes with his party while Donald Trump has been riding on the populist wave with the
promise of making America great again (Collinson).
The issue of immigration has dominated the politics of the GOP primaries. Donald
Trump tapped into immigration when he claimed that as president he would stop Syrian Muslim
immigrants from accessing the USA (Gomez). He continued to state that he would build a wall
on the USA-Mexican border to stop illegal migrants from taking away jobs from Americans.
(Roberts) Ted Cruz capitalized on the economic insecurities of white-collar job holders in an ad
by painting a gleam picture of the negative impact of immigration if immigrants were skilled
laborers who would drive down salaries due to increased competition (Grier). Due to the
attention the issue of immigration has attracted, all the candidates have tried to outshine one
another with their immigration policies.
Overall, as the July convention approaches, Republican primary voters continue to
witness the most interesting race in recent times. All outcomes possible in the race prove to have
a twist in them. A win for the current frontrunners would place an antiestablishment candidate as
the Republican nominee while an upset would be considered one of the greatest political
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comebacks for Kasich or Rubio. The prospects of a contested convention invite Americans to a
party presidential nominations mechanisms lesson of a lifetime.
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Works Cited
Bolton, Alexander. GOP braces for Trump Iowa result. The Hill, 30 January 2016. Web. 11
March 2016.
Collinson, Stephen. How Trump and Cruz went from Ivy League to anti-establishment. CNN, 28
January 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.
Gabriel, Trip. Republican delegate Math favors Donald Trump after latest wins.New York
Times, 9 March 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.
Gomez, Alan. Debate over refugees will be heated in 2016 presidential race. USA Today, 17
January 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.
Gray, Kathleen and Todd Spangler. Turnout in presidential primary breaks 1972 record. Detroit
Free Press, 9 March 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.
Grier, Peter. How Ted Cruz's new immigration ad trumps Donald Trump's ad. The Christian
Science Monitor, 5 January 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.
Lewis, Matt. American Way: the struggle to stop Donald Trump is going to be mean and dirty.
The Telegraph, 5 March 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.
Roberts, Dan. What President Donald Trump’s first 100 days in office would look like. The
Guardian, 25 February 2016. Web. 11 March 2016.

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